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Mali vs Senegal: GSB Uganda Predictions, Odds, and Match Analysis
We’re seeing two West African heavyweights go head-to-head, and one of them is going to be the one taking the continental title, when Mali vs Senegal face off in the quarterfinals of the Africa Cup of Nations.
Well known for tough defence and penalty shootouts – one of these has done that this year; the other has basically been dictating the play with their attack.
When the two teams face each other, they’ll have a chance to settle a 19 year old score, the 1-1 draw in 2004.
Overview of Recent Performances and Tournament Journey
Looking at the four matches they’ve played in the Africa Cup, the two sides have shown completely different football philosophies.
Mali’s Form and Their Penalty Shootout Success
Looking at the four matches they’ve played in the Africa Cup, the two sides have shown completely different football philosophies. Well-known for their quarterfinal run, these team has made history by reaching the last eight without a single regular-time victory in their four games.
In a rare, almost predictable manner, they have come to associate the lottery of penalty shootouts as a winning situation, and out of four penalty shootouts in the tournament, they won three of them. This strategy seems to be rooted in cutting down the space and chances for their opponents.
Senegal’s Dominant Run and Offensive Edge
Last time out against Sudan, Mali had 68% possession. From 14 chances they have put nine shots on target and scored 10 goals in four tournament games.
They have gone 15 matches unbeaten in the competition and showed they can fight back when behind.
Mali vs Senegal: Key Match Statistics and Historical Data Highlights
These two teams approach tournament football in fundamentally different ways, as statistical analysis shows. Numbers highlight these contrasting philosophies, and this is basically what will determine the outcome of this game.
Possession, Shots, and Goal Contributions
Looking back at the statistics, one team’s defensive brilliance is evident with 28% possession, and 140 passes. Coming out on the attack was never going to be an option for them, and their seven shots on goal are a testament to that.
Their keeper stepped up in the regular time with five fantastic saves, and then sealed the deal in the shootout by blocking two penalty kicks, which proved to be the difference in the game.
When looking at the statistics of their opponents, the picture is quite different. They’ve dominated the ball with 68% possession and created nine shots on target out of fourteen, they are known to produce match-winning strikers in this tournament.
|
Metric |
Mali (Defensive) |
Senegal (Offensive) |
|
Average Possession |
27.8% |
68% |
|
Shots on Target/Game |
1.0 |
9.0 |
|
Pass Completion |
140 |
480+ |
|
Clean Sheets |
1 |
2 |
|
Tournament Goals |
3 |
10 |
Historic Trends and Penalty Drama in Previous Encounters
In the history of this rivalry, one team is no stranger to tight matches, having participated in 25 draws out of 63 tournament games, and basically takes a calculated approach to the game.
Well-known penalty shootouts have been the game changers in their recent tournament run, and their goalkeeper’s nerves of steel in these shootouts are something to be reckoned with.
Mali vs Senegal: Head-to-Head Record and Tactical Breakdown
The football history of West African nations is marked by the rivalry between Senegal and Mali. A pattern of one-sided wins, 19 in favour of Senegal, out of a 40 match head-to-head history, is a well-known fact.
Senegal’s impressive 13-match undefeated streak in this rivalry is still in play, creating for Mali mental roadblocks and, conversely, breathing life into the spirits of the Senegalese players and their fans.
Coming in with historical weight, one team undeniably gets the upper hand in this showdown.
Historical Rivalry and Past Encounter Outcomes
Only the second time they had met at the AFCON finals – the first in a 2004 group stage clash. That game ended 1-1, and both went on to the quarterfinals.
Senegal have scored 61 goals compared to Cameroon 38 over the years and are far more dangerous in front of goal too. That gap shows which side usually has won.
|
Historical Metric |
Mali |
Senegal |
|
Total Matches |
40 |
40 |
|
Wins |
8 |
19 |
|
Draws |
13 |
13 |
|
Aggregate Goals |
38 |
61 |
|
Last Victory |
1997 |
2019 |
Predicted XI: Who Will Start?
Mali Predicted XI (4-4-2): Diarra, Traore, Kouyate, Niakate, Sacko, Haidara, Bissouma, Camara, Coulibaly, Sinayoko, Koita
Senegal Predicted XI (4-3-3): Edouard Mendy, Koulibaly, Diallo, Jakobs, Diatta, Pape Sarr, Lamine Camara, Gana Gueye, Sadio Mane, Ismaila Sarr, Nicolas Jackson
Betting Odds and Trends
Experience the excitement of football betting on GSB Uganda’s, known for having the absolute best market selections and odds, designed to maximize your betting experience at every level.
Here are the current projected odds for the match:
- Mali Win: 6.20
- Draw: 3.65
- Senegal Win: 1.64 ⭐
GSB Uganda’s football prediction page is complete with expert match previews, up-to-date team news and even extensive player statistics to provide you with the information you need to make educated bets confidently.
Match Prediction: Mali vs Senegal
As for placing a bet on this match, conservative bettors will probably prefer the favourite’s moneyline or a “win to nil” option, given the team’s two clean sheets in group play and imposing defensive record.
Those who are on the lookout for value could look at the correct score option, and a predicted score of 2-0 would be a logical choice that does justice to the statistics of both teams.
For those who are willing to take the risk, the underdog’s long odds, are basically the way to go if you think you’re in for a major upset.
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